If the ESP determined the National Championship Game participants, it would be all but a done deal. Unless Texas loses to Nebraska in the Big 12 Championship, they will face the winner of the SEC Championship game which pits Alabama and Florida for the second consecutive year.

TCU and Boise State have had great runs, but they are too far away in point differentials to make up the ground needed to get into the top two. The bias of pre-season polls and poor competition has shattered their shot at a title game appearance. Cincinnati is undoubtedly in the same category.

The Irish finish the season at 60th in the AV Ranking, going 6-6 against the 26th most difficult schedule and generating the 47th best TPR. A cursory view of this metric seems to be an excellent predictor of team ranking as Alabama, Florida and Texas occupy the top spots and several other highly ranked teams have excellent TPR rankings.

Stay tuned for some BCS bowl game predictions, similar to those performed last season.

Elite Selection Playoff (ESP)

Rank	Team	AP Poll	Coach's Poll	AV Ranking	Points
1	Florida	1	1	3	1
2	Alabama	2	3	1	0.986
3	Texas	3	2	2	0.972
4	TCU	4	4	5	0.89
5	Boise St	6	6	4	0.849
6	Cincinnati	5	5	7	0.835
7	Ohio State	8	7	6	0.78
8	Oregon	7	8	10	0.726
9	Iowa	9	10	9	0.684
10	Virginia Tech	11	11	8	0.657
11	Penn State	10	9	12	0.643
12	Georgia Tech	12	12	11	0.589
13	Pittsburgh	14	15	15	0.465
14	Brigham Young	16	13	16	0.452
15	LSU	15	14	17	0.438
16	Miami FL	17	17	13	0.424
17	Southern Cal	20	19	14	0.342
18	Houston	18	18	18	0.328
19	Oregon St	13	16	29	0.315
20	Nebraska	21	20	22	0.205
21	Oklahoma St	22	21	23	0.164
21	West Virginia	24	23	19	0.164
23	California	19	22	31	0.15
24	North Carolina	NR	NR	20	0.082
25	Oklahoma	NR	NR	21	0.068

AV Ranking

Rank	Team	Points	Strength of Schedule	Quality Wins/Losses	Adjusted Win Percentage	Margin of Victory	Team Performance Ratio
1	Alabama	0.928	58	3	5	5	1
2	Texas	0.882	49	27	4	2	2
3	Florida	0.864	72	22	5	3	3
4	Boise St	0.856	104	11	1	4	8
5	TCU	0.855	101	18	1	1	4
6	Ohio State	0.853	37	1	10	8	9
7	Cincinnati	0.836	57	40	1	15	14
8	Virginia Tech	0.782	6	10	17	11	5
9	Iowa	0.781	42	4	10	35	32
10	Oregon	0.752	18	40	14	14	13
11	Georgia Tech	0.743	88	13	8	23	23
12	Penn State	0.722	78	60	10	6	7
13	Miami FL	0.709	32	18	17	29	24
14	Southern Cal	0.708	41	5	26	42	39
15	Pittsburgh	0.699	71	88	14	17	11
16	Brigham Young	0.692	91	80	7	18	28
17	LSU	0.685	34	30	23	28	25
18	Houston	0.683	107	27	10	9	31
19	West Virginia	0.68	45	12	31	49	30
20	North Carolina	0.671	69	2	33	36	29
21	Oklahoma	0.658	7	13	54	7	6
22	Nebraska	0.657	73	64	17	13	16
23	Oklahoma St	0.653	50	90	23	33	21
24	Central Michigan	0.652	115	90	8	10	20
25	Clemson	0.651	38	16	37	20	34

Adjusted Win Percentage (AWP)

Rank	Team	Points
1	Boise St	0.873
1	TCU	0.873
1	Cincinnati	0.873
4	Texas	0.866
5	Alabama	0.86
5	Florida	0.86
7	Brigham Young	0.749
8	Georgia Tech	0.743
8	Central Michigan	0.743
10	Ohio State	0.736

Strength of Schedule (SOS)

Rank	Team	Points
1	Mississippi St	0.961
2	Florida St	0.933
3	Miami OH	0.893
4	Washington St	0.782
5	Syracuse	0.776
6	Virginia Tech	0.771
7	Oklahoma	0.761
8	Louisville	0.76
9	Colorado	0.752
10	Washington	0.739

Team Performance Ratio (TPR)

Rank	Team	Points
1	Alabama	0.909
2	Texas	0.907
3	Florida	0.883
4	TCU	0.836
5	Virginia Tech	0.812
6	Oklahoma	0.803
7	Penn State	0.789
8	Boise St	0.782
9	Ohio State	0.776
10	Arkansas	0.766

Margin of Victory (MOV)

Rank	Team	Points
1	TCU	0.94
2	Texas	0.929
3	Florida	0.914
4	Boise St	0.899
5	Alabama	0.817
6	Penn State	0.767
7	Oklahoma	0.762
8	Ohio State	0.754
9	Houston	0.751
10	Central Michigan	0.743

Quality Wins/Losses (QWL)

Rank	Team	Points
1	Ohio State	1
2	North Carolina	0.765
3	Alabama	0.737
4	Iowa	0.651
5	Southern Cal	0.601
5	Stanford	0.601
7	Purdue	0.592
8	Northwestern	0.546
9	Florida St	0.52
10	Virginia Tech	0.517