The national title picture is becoming more and more clear.

Unless something dramatically changes, it will be Texas against the winner of the SEC in the national championship game. The ESP has Alabama number one and Florida number two, while the BCS has the two teams in reverse order.

This disparity is largely due to the computer rankings used by the BCS and the computer ranking used by the ESP, the AV Ranking. Alabama ranks number one in the AV Ranking, largely because of their statistical dominance and a better (albeit still not good) strength of schedule ranking than the Gators. Alabama has played the 68th toughest strength of schedule while Florida has faced the 83rd most difficult slate of teams. Additionally, Alabama has the number one TPR, mostly because of an excellent turnover margin and stifling defense.

After the third consecutive loss the Irish drop to number 53 in the AV Ranking with the 31st ranked strength of schedule and 42nd best TPR. Notre Dame’s upcoming opponent, the Stanford Cardinal, ranks 33rd but has a lower strength of schedule and TPR ranking.

Elite Selection Playoff (ESP)

Rank	Team	AP Poll	Coach's Poll	AV Ranking	Points
1	Alabama	2	3	1	1
2	Florida	1	1	5	0.986
3	Texas	3	2	3	0.972
4	TCU	4	4	2	0.944
5	Cincinnati	5	5	6	0.861
6	Boise St	6	6	7	0.819
7	Ohio State	9	8	4	0.791
8	Georgia Tech	7	7	8	0.777
9	Pittsburgh	8	9	12	0.68
10	Oregon	10	10	11	0.652
11	Iowa	13	13	9	0.597
12	Penn State	12	11	13	0.583
13	Virginia Tech	14	14	10	0.555
14	Oklahoma St	11	12	17	0.527
15	Clemson	15	16	18	0.402
16	LSU	17	17	20	0.333
16	Brigham Young	18	15	21	0.333
16	Miami FL	19	21	14	0.333
19	Oregon St	16	18	27	0.25
20	Houston	25	20	16	0.236
21	North Carolina	23	24	15	0.222
22	Utah	22	19	22	0.208
23	Southern Cal	24	22	19	0.18
24	Mississippi	20	25	24	0.125
25	California	21	NR	30	0.069

AV Ranking

Rank	Team	Points	Strength of Schedule	Quality Wins/Losses	Adjusted Win Percentage	Margin of Victory	Team Performance Ratio
1	Alabama	0.911	68	4	6	5	1
2	TCU	0.906	81	6	2	2	4
3	Texas	0.891	49	18	4	1	2
4	Ohio State	0.856	29	1	10	7	10
5	Florida	0.852	83	22	4	4	3
6	Cincinnati	0.847	37	61	1	20	13
7	Boise St	0.836	111	14	2	2	9
8	Georgia Tech	0.819	90	4	7	23	17
9	Iowa	0.778	48	3	10	33	33
10	Virginia Tech	0.771	4	13	22	16	5
11	Oregon	0.751	15	28	16	13	14
12	Pittsburgh	0.747	89	71	8	15	6
13	Penn State	0.723	80	56	10	6	8
14	Miami FL	0.713	30	10	22	33	25
15	North Carolina	0.713	66	2	22	36	19
16	Houston	0.694	101	18	14	21	38
17	Oklahoma St	0.69	56	81	16	25	22
18	Clemson	0.689	39	16	31	14	23
19	Southern Cal	0.676	45	11	34	49	53
20	LSU	0.667	33	27	22	30	28
21	Brigham Young	0.665	102	81	9	18	32
22	Utah	0.662	103	32	16	27	36
23	Wisconsin	0.644	36	81	31	39	18
24	Mississippi	0.644	95	22	31	18	16
25	Nebraska	0.64	69	59	22	12	21

Adjusted Win Percentage (AWP)

Rank	Team	Points
1	Cincinnati	0.866
2	TCU	0.865
2	Boise St	0.865
4	Texas	0.852
4	Florida	0.852
6	Alabama	0.845
7	Georgia Tech	0.792
8	Pittsburgh	0.775
9	Brigham Young	0.733
10	Ohio State	0.729

Strength of Schedule (SOS)

[table "187" seems to be empty /]

Team Performance Ratio (TPR)

Rank	Team	Points
1	Alabama	0.906
2	Texas	0.905
3	Florida	0.853
4	TCU	0.827
5	Virginia Tech	0.808
6	Pittsburgh	0.797
7	Oklahoma	0.795
8	Penn State	0.784
9	Boise St	0.78
10	Ohio State	0.766

Margin of Victory (MOV)

Rank	Team	Points
1	Texas	0.937
2	TCU	0.903
2	Boise St	0.903
4	Florida	0.896
5	Alabama	0.826
6	Penn State	0.78
7	Ohio State	0.767
8	Oklahoma	0.736
9	Central Michigan	0.735
10	Nevada	0.719

Quality Wins/Losses (QWL)

Rank	Team	Points
1	Ohio State	1
2	North Carolina	0.685
3	Iowa	0.672
4	Alabama	0.657
4	Georgia Tech	0.657
6	TCU	0.628
7	North Carolina St	0.607
8	Northwestern	0.571
9	Purdue	0.554
10	Miami FL	0.548